Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 888.880919 1008.022733 1141.767593 1303.909847 1496.335065 1718.865093 1997.802785
2025-04-06 687.843281 836.428678 1018.993781 1263.163292 1586.358559 2007.070252 2609.068054
2025-04-13 576.990467 731.311863 931.546829 1216.270802 1620.700265 2190.757775 3086.180777
2025-04-20 528.333129 694.083586 919.661226 1258.541404 1772.216363 2553.080911 3897.754285
2025-04-27 483.102993 653.272066 894.042040 1272.653669 1879.189099 2864.223361 4707.914933
2025-05-04 446.698293 619.335129 872.024373 1285.834800 1982.843690 3186.521122 5627.149064
2025-05-11 415.297318 588.530660 849.791340 1293.473595 2075.776387 3506.481177 6639.897367
2025-05-18 396.943525 574.940018 851.583144 1339.147445 2240.686149 3993.120500 8170.168609
2025-05-25 377.959453 558.119328 845.730178 1369.906183 2382.458907 4466.881948 9861.391870
2025-06-01 357.280120 536.441564 829.186758 1378.670798 2482.359962 4876.367937 11570.818964
2025-06-08 337.339432 514.083036 808.966124 1377.458747 2561.103875 5257.702787 13384.559225
2025-06-15 324.392908 502.146693 805.338112 1406.814720 2708.961109 5841.247714 16124.453498
2025-06-22 300.568884 470.457778 764.831202 1360.965136 2688.780312 6014.323237 17670.083467
2025-06-29 279.446132 442.001640 727.902911 1318.388054 2670.259648 6192.729187 19378.743193
2025-07-06 259.550706 414.243138 689.837415 1268.846986 2626.775050 6291.798593 20859.936519
2025-07-13 253.444886 410.459815 696.131816 1313.461794 2820.654088 7139.240531 26210.818671
2025-07-20 244.203913 400.272142 689.187111 1328.358479 2942.826255 7813.952058 31457.360481
2025-07-27 235.576714 390.557261 682.239398 1342.275356 3065.582034 8538.847110 37823.679037
2025-08-03 226.982931 380.284519 673.255215 1350.341407 3174.391072 9261.266103 45164.188951
2025-08-10 222.980957 378.374817 680.936822 1398.584371 3408.907512 10553.656306 58535.858704
2025-08-17 217.646263 373.506129 682.041973 1431.086936 3605.184755 11798.315891 74257.848969
2025-08-24 210.561400 364.744798 674.206605 1440.350435 3732.343018 12821.347418 90590.495713
2025-08-31 203.055244 354.679173 662.775266 1439.069341 3826.088378 13748.951185 108670.365847